MBI Shows Consistent Growth for Industry

With a reading of 54.9, the April metalworking business index showed that the metalworking industry had grown at a fairly consistent rate since October 2011.

Columns From: 5/14/2012 Modern Machine Shop, , from Gardner Business Media

Editor's Commentary

From the monthly column: By the Numbers
Sub-Indices April March

Percentage Point
Change

Direction   Rate of Change

Trend
(Months)

 
New Orders 56.4 63.4 -7.0 Growing   Slower 20  
Production 59.0 63.0 -4.0 Growing   Slower 9  
Employment 57.2 55.1 2.1 Growing   Faster 12  
Backlog 48.9 55.0 -6.1 Contracting  From Growing 1  
Exports 49.7 46.8 2.9 Contracting  Less 2  
Supplier Deliveries 58.1 59.2 -1.2 Lengthening  Less 8  
Material Prices 62.7 67.4 -4.7 Increasing  Less 29  
Prices Received 54.1 55.8 -1.7 Increasing  Less 17  
Future Business Expectations 72.7 75.9 -3.3 Improving Less 35  
               
Overall MBI 54.9 57.0 -2.1 Growing Slower 33  
 
 
With a reading of 54.9, the April MBI showed that the metalworking industry had grown at a fairly consistent rate since October 2011. In fact, April marked the 33rd month of growth, even though it was the first month of noticeably slower growth since October 2011.
 
Four of the six subindices lowered the industry’s growth rate. Most notably, new orders moved from 63.4 to 56.4 and production moved from 63.0 to 59.0. While the new order growth rate slipped below the average rate for this expansion, the production growth rate remained fairly strong. Because production grew faster than new orders, backlogs moved from strong growth to contraction in April. Supplier deliveries also contributed to the slower industry growth rate, but the change was not that great. Supplier deliveries still indicated widespread strength in the manufacturing supply chain.
 
Employment and exports were on the other end of the spectrum. Employment had grown for 12 consecutive months, but it did so at a faster rate in April. Exports still contracted, but they did so at a slower rate in April. This helped keep the industry’s growth rate up.
 
Future business expectations fell to their lowest level since November 2011. However, expectations were still notably above the level seen in the first half of 2011. While expectations came down a little, metalworking facilities continued to buy equipment at a significant rate. Average spending per plant trended up and reached its second highest level since June 2011.  

 

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